++++Labour have a 3 point lead with Angus Reid++++
| Poll | Date | CON | LAB | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid/S. Express | 01/10/10 | 35 | 38 | 16 |
| BPIX-YouGov/Mail on Sunday | 01/10/10 | 41 | 37 | 13 |
| News International/YouGov | 01/10/10 | 39 | 41 | 11 |
| ComRes online | 01/10/10 | 39 | 36 | 15 |
| ICM | 29/09/10 | 35 | 37 | 18 |
The polling give a very mixed picture
We’ve now picked up two other polls that are in today’s Sunday papers and they give a differing picture of public opinion in the wake of Ed Miliband election to the Labour leadership and last week’s Labour conference.
The biggest surprise given its pre-election polls is from Angus Reid which in the Sunday Express has Labour with a three point lead.
This contrasts sharply with BPIX, which operates on the YouGov platform, which has the Tories with a four point lead.
All but one of the polls since Ed Miliband’s election have been carried out online. The exception was ICM.
UPDATE on Angus Reid: My understanding is AR past vote weighting now based on how panellists said they voted in post-May 6 poll. This deals to a large extent with the potential false recall issue that I repeatedly flagged at the time.